Live from Reading, Pennsylvania - NHRA Keystone Nationals

[Jack Matyas]

2:30 update - things are going smoothly here - parking has almost everyone in and I must say that the NHRA parking staff are being very gratious to each racers needs .That said there haven't been incidents so far of rigs being or getting stuck .I've seen one or two areas that are being avoided because they are soft but for the most part the ground is rock solid .

Tech has been open most of the day and is moving right along with no holdups there or in the ticket trailer.

Tomorrow is starting to look much better as they say only 20% chance of the wet stuff .

Later ....

[david ring]

the problem is the forecast for next weekend is not promising either

[Bobby Fazio]

Parking was set to start at 10am and I got here at 8:45 only to see my line already moving! Hopped in the truck and got parked with no problem, smooth tech in the lanes, and even got to wax the car. Sun was out a little and never rained. I think it misted once. I think they will get this race in and the fact that about 100 cars dropped out should make things move along pretty quickly even with any rain delay, should that happen.

[Superfan1]

Originally Posted by david ring

the problem is the forecast for next weekend is not promising either

From someone who studied meteorology in college, any forecast for more than 3 days into the future has a diminished accuracy probability, and that probability diminishes even more as the forecast range increases. At this point, a forecast for next weekend shouldn't be taken literally.

[Geerhead55]

Originally Posted by Superfan1

From someone who studied meteorology in college, any forecast for more than 3 days into the future has a diminished accuracy probability, and that probability diminishes even more as the forecast range increases. At this point, a forecast for next weekend shouldn't be taken literally.

I hear you Bill,, but in the interest of fairness,, I'm assuming college was a few years back and forecasting has come a long ways in the last couple decades. I hope theres no problems for those racers already parked, but the potential for some rigs getting blown around does exist. We've all seen campgrounds, racetracks, etc, get hit by storms and have seen awnings ripped off or worse! I'll keep my fingers crossed for all from out here on the "left coast". Take care,, my friend.
Danny Durham

[Michael Beard]

Originally Posted by Superfan1

From someone who studied meteorology in college, any forecast for more than 3 days into the future has a diminished accuracy probability, and that probability diminishes even more as the forecast range increases. At this point, a forecast for next weekend shouldn't be taken literally.

Exactly right. It's Chaos Theory. There are infinitely too many variables involved, and even the absolute tiniest of error in the initial assumptions multiple over time exponentially.

[Superfan1]

Danny you are right, when I was in college, meteorology was in its infancy. The current computer guidance and associated technology didn't exist when I was studying. However, I stay current and up to date on all of the new technology because I have always been fascinated by the weather. Believe me a forecast for 7-10 days into the future has a very low degree of accuracy. Take care my friend, I hope that you are doing well.

[Superfan1]

Originally Posted by Michael Beard

Exactly right. It's Chaos Theory. There are infinitely too many variables involved, and even the absolute tiniest of error in the initial assumptions multiple over time exponentially.

Well said Michael, very well said.

[Bob Bender]

The problem is we have two many weather men on this site. If you don't want to race stay home. If you don't race don't comment. The racers here ready to go racing. Thanks again for the short field and better pit spots.

[jwsamuel]

Originally Posted by Superfan1

a forecast for next weekend shouldn't be taken literally.

A forecast for later the same day should not be taken literally.

Jim