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Originally Posted by Jason Shepard
Im running class racing around the midwest. Something for changing conditions, I dont think I would trust the ET predictor. A guy can trust that too much I think.
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You're absolutely correct that it is a mistake to just shut off your brain and turn things over to the computer. At the same time, it can help bring important things to light.
As I stated before, I don't really use the ET predictions when I'm bracket racing. However, I do have the weather station up and predictions running, so I'll glance at the screen just to see generally what things look like. One day, in the short time between the time run and R1, I noticed the prediction had changed almost a tenth from what I just ran. When I looked closer, it became clear that the wind had shifted 180*. Without seeing that crazy ET number on the computer, I don't think I would have noticed that shift or approximately how to quantify it. I was prepared for the change and knew how to change my default finish line strategy accordingly.
The predictions are far from the gospel, but it's another data point to consider with all the others.
If your racing includes any 'blind' elimination runs, putting a dial on it right off the trailer, the predictions may not be right on but it'll be closer than licking my finger and holding it up.