Rain for Montgomery???
 

The forecast isn't looking too good for Montgomery, Division 2 Lucas Oil points race next weekend! I wonder if they are considering postponing it? Of course the weather could change before then, too. Right now it is 90% chance on Friday, 20% on Saturday and 70% on Sunday!


So who all is planning on going??


Patsy

Re: Rain for Montgomery???
 

Jim Howard will do more than most many track operators to get a race in he also pays close attention to the weather ! Been racing there since the place opened in 95 seen some pretty nasty storms come up reason being the track is close to the Ala river also track was built on wet lands! The weather around Montgomery changes about every 5 minutes drives the weather man crazy? Hope it cools off a little and what ever you do bring some SKEETER spray they can get a little gnarley at times! Don't know if you ever been before but the track is easy to get too and anything you may need is within a few minutes from the track. Maybe Hugh Meeks will see this and chime in ?
Have a safe trip !!!!

Randy

Re: Rain for Montgomery???
 

Ms Patsy I don't put alot of faith in the long range forecast anymore, remember Belle Rose. Charlotte was supposed to be cleared out early on Friday morning and we know how that turned out. Unfortunately my wife had already made plans for this weekend for her and a girlfriend to go see Jimmy Buffett in Tampa so I won't have to make a decision unless someone wants to babysit at the track for me!

Re: Rain for Montgomery???
 

Please refer to the Richmond thread. Long-range forecasts are consistently, demonstrably WRONG. There's a simple scientific reason why it is an impossible task, but I won't bore you right now. Anything past a 5-day forecast is professional malpractice.

Re: Rain for Montgomery???
 

For what it's worth...I live 2hrs away and it has rained off and on every day for a 3 weeks....and it's showing nothing less than 60% all week except for saturday shows no rain...

I really hope it clears up and the rainman moves away..

Re: Rain for Montgomery???
 

The weekend prior to the Piedmont Pro-Am, forecasts showed 90% all weekend long and racers were going crazy, wondering when they were going to reschedule it, etc, etc. The long-range forecast was complete garbage, and we had an absolutely beautiful, picture-perfect weekend.

I have been tracking long-range forecasts AND how they change for a couple of years now. I save a screenshot each day, and they will change by more than 15 degrees and +/- 60%. It's chaos theory. It is not physically possible to make accurate long-range predictions due to the number of variables involved, and if any one initial constraint is off by the tiniest nano-anything, that error compounds exponentially over time.

Tuesday prior to a race weekend is the earliest that you will get even a decent look at the forecast... and even those are frequently wrong. I've even seen them wrong in real time, which is truly stunning... Save yourself the stress.


These are actual pictures from actual forecasts:

https://scontent-iad.xx.fbcdn.net/hp...af&oe=55A4BE30

Re: Rain for Montgomery???
 

I must admit it looks real gloomy at the moment, I wouldn't pack the fridge yet.

Re: Rain for Montgomery???
 

Rescheduled Larry ! June 5, 6 and 7