HOME FORUM RULES CONTACT
     
   
   

Go Back   CLASS RACER FORUM > Class Racer Forums > Stock and Super Stock
Register Photo Gallery FAQ Community Calendar


Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
Old 06-03-2022, 05:55 PM   #21
Mark Yacavone
Veteran Member
 
Mark Yacavone's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2002
Location: Miles From Nowhere
Posts: 7,659
Likes: 2,765
Liked 4,848 Times in 1,842 Posts
Default Re: The official DragInsights Power Rankings thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by Ellis V Buth View Post
I look at it this way:

These are meant to be fun...not a "surefire" deal.
ELLIS, I'm not laughing here. I'm glad somebody is.


How about Nat'l winners>

Bob Broadbent
Dave Casey
Barry Parker
Dean Cook
Vinny Barone
John Shaul
Michael Iacono
Who am I missing?
Oh yeah, last year's winner John Gray

I WILL get a big laugh if one of these guys gets to the final ;-)
__________________
Real life never quite adds up.... Jay Farrar
Mark Yacavone is offline   Reply With Quote
Liked
Old 06-03-2022, 07:51 PM   #22
Ellis V Buth
Junior Member
 
Join Date: Sep 2015
Posts: 87
Likes: 45
Liked 308 Times in 59 Posts
Default Re: The official DragInsights Power Rankings thread

Quote:
Originally Posted by Mark Yacavone View Post
ELLIS, I'm not laughing here. I'm glad somebody is.


How about Nat'l winners>

Bob Broadbent
Dave Casey
Barry Parker
Dean Cook
Vinny Barone
John Shaul
Michael Iacono
Who am I missing?
Oh yeah, last year's winner John Gray

I WILL get a big laugh if one of these guys gets to the final ;-)
I do get what you're saying...and I certainly never count anyone out. I don't have access to whatever algorithm they are using to come up with this stuff. Maybe it still needs work...or maybe there is something statistically that makes some of them not get into the "Top 10" for some reason but anytime you make a list and limit it to 10 people...it is likely that some names get left off.

The list you gave is definitely a group of racers that I look up to and make sure I bring my "A game" when I stage up against them...
Ellis V Buth is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-04-2022, 12:39 PM   #23
Dan Bennett
Member
 
Join Date: Jun 2007
Posts: 401
Likes: 692
Liked 482 Times in 110 Posts
Default Re: The official DragInsights Power Rankings thread

I'm getting ready to dive into a foxhole, but my opinion is that some people are not understanding what the reports are about.

Not the best analogy, but I've never seen any racer be offended by being left off the Tricky Tipster list. That was simply one person's (who changed over time) gut feeling considering performance levels, recent wins, and driving ability. The list here simply takes that from a gut feeling to a more specific analysis.

I may be leaving some things out, but what gets you on the list is a number of things: recent reaction times, ability to run under the index, past success at a given track, ability to drive the stripe, and performance in eliminations so far this year.

If you're being honest, those are the same things most racers would consider as they dial their car and plan their race.

Being able to put numbers on things is much more accurate than gut feelings. In the days before 60' clocks, you'd hear about one car hooking better than the other. But when we got numbers, sometimes it was a case of a slower 60 but a better reaction.

So they're looking at a lot of cold hard facts. And putting a rating on who is doing a better job. No, it is not 100% accurate since all of us have seen those occasions where the "impossible" or unlikely happens.

It's an argument for another day, but those that think statistical analysis is not needed in drag racing probably should yank the data systems out of their cars and ask the track operator to shut off the clocks and just leave the win light.

Last edited by Dan Bennett; 06-04-2022 at 12:42 PM.
Dan Bennett is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-04-2022, 01:44 PM   #24
jmcarter
VIP Member
 
jmcarter's Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2008
Location: Richmond Hill GA (and Port Ludlow WA)
Posts: 4,221
Likes: 2,175
Liked 2,961 Times in 912 Posts
Default Re: The official DragInsights Power Rankings thread

I’m in the hole with you Dan. Know Alicia and Rusty (RIP) were formulating a plan to roll out this tool years ago and kudos to her for providing this resource. Don’t know the algorithm and while some anomalies such as Keith’s omission will no doubt be corrected by her in the near term it would behoove folks to use the data points provided to augment your strategy. Just looking at how analytics has changed baseball is a perfect example of winners using every tool available.
__________________
Jim Carter
2340 Super Stock
2340 SST/2340 Stock
Set another place at the table
jmcarter is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-04-2022, 02:16 PM   #25
Alicia
Junior Member
 
Alicia's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2010
Posts: 36
Likes: 219
Liked 122 Times in 22 Posts
Default Re: The official DragInsights Power Rankings thread

Hi guys! Thanks for all the feedback. Couple things:
  1. Keith - yes, I completely messed up and posted a non-current list. Mea culpa, I am literally the WORST with details. Bobby has to babysit me constantly. You're the man.
  2. In no way do we believe anyone should ever pack up and leave a race, or take any of this too seriously. The Power Rankings are my way of getting racers to think about racing a different way, maybe take an analytical view if it's of interest, and if not, that's ok too! Sure, on any given Sunday, anyone can win, and that's the beauty of the sport. And I love your ideas about how we make this information more useful (and fun) to look at and use.

Appreciate you all very much - happy racing!
Alicia
__________________
Alicia
www.draginsights.com
Alicia is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-04-2022, 02:17 PM   #26
Keith 944
VIP Member
 
Keith 944's Avatar
 
Join Date: Feb 2006
Location: Dela-where?
Posts: 2,158
Likes: 1,076
Liked 1,754 Times in 554 Posts
Default Re: The official DragInsights Power Rankings thread

I was first car in line and I don’t think they needed the stats to realize what was going on,
the first three cars switched lanes to get in behind me instead of beside me lol
__________________
KEITH MAYERS
2 X somebody
many X nobody
Keith 944 is offline   Reply With Quote
Liked
Old 06-04-2022, 02:23 PM   #27
Alicia
Junior Member
 
Alicia's Avatar
 
Join Date: May 2010
Posts: 36
Likes: 219
Liked 122 Times in 22 Posts
Default Re: The official DragInsights Power Rankings thread

Corrected rankings...sounds like the word is out

Super Street
Keith Mayers - Power Factor 55.6870, Win Probability 18.93%
Brian Sawyer - Power Factor 55.1696, Win Probability 18.76%
John Olson - Power Factor 30.7706, Win Probability 10.46%
Raymond Knight - Power Factor 24.2121, Win Probability 8.23%
Paul Lorenti - Power Factor 24.1937, Win Probability 8.23%
Jason Mazzotta - Power Factor 21.0528, Win Probability 7.16%
John Harper - Power Factor 18.9976, Win Probability 6.46%
Robert Lohnes - Power Factor 14.7155, Win Probability 5.00%
Kelly Kundratic - Power Factor 6.3877, Win Probability 2.17%
Lou Avolio - Power Factor 5.4381, Win Probability 1.85%
Field Win Probability 12.75%
__________________
Alicia
www.draginsights.com
Alicia is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-04-2022, 03:05 PM   #28
Bobby Fazio
VIP Member
 
Bobby Fazio's Avatar
 
Join Date: Nov 2009
Location: Egg Harbor Township, NJ
Posts: 1,432
Likes: 1,301
Liked 3,963 Times in 468 Posts
Default Re: The official DragInsights Power Rankings thread

I fixed this post yesterday on here but I don't see it anymore. Was it removed due to being Super Street in a Stock/SS thread? Let me explain what we are doing because clearly some are not understanding.

First of all, Keith M was at the top of the Super Street list when I did the Super Street rankings so you can all take a deep breath and relax lol. Alicia posted an incomplete sheet from 3 days ago that I had not yet finished.

Second, we are NOT posting the top 10 drivers. That would be boring and the top 10 would rarely change and we would see the same names at most races. We want to put random names in so we can see what other drivers' power rankings are. We post the TOP 1-3 drivers for a power factor baseline so you can see how the other drivers match up. We also try not to repeat drivers in multiple classes, like Mike Iacono is already listed in Super Stock so he gets left off of Stock.

Third, and to keep Mark Yacavone from jumping off a ledge, yes you can laugh all you want if one of the drivers not listed wins. That is what the "field" power factor and probability is. Where does it say they should pack it in and go home? John Gray had a power factor 14.5ish and a probability of 6.4ish% so his probability is boosting the "field." So, yes, you could laugh all the way to the bank if you chose the field and we were actually gambling here haha! Cheer up pal.

These are meant to be fun, and we try to change it up all the time. Enjoy!

Quote:
Originally Posted by Alicia View Post
OK, here we go - this week's Power Rankings for Epping!

Wishing everyone racing this weekend good luck!

Stock Eliminator
Joe Santangelo – Power Factor 41.8932, Win Probability 17.66%
Allison Doll – Power Factor 41.3740, Win Probability 17.44%
Matt Lisa – Power Factor 27.5538, Win Probability 11.61%
Katie Sepanek – Power Factor 17.6474, Win Probability 7.44%
Jim Boudreau – Power Factor 14.5994, Win Probability 6.15%
Bob Letellier – Power Factor 13.6173, Win Probability 5.74%
Bill Sheppard – Power Factor 12.0648, Win Probability 5.09%
Ron Infantino – Power Factor 8.2532, Win Probability 3.48%
Stephen Smyth – Power Factor 8.2084, Win Probability 3.46%
Dan Lynch – Power Factor 2.0246, Win Probability 0.85%
Field Win Probability 21.08%

Super Stock
Bryan Worner – Power Factor 39.4972, Win Probability 16.10%
Joe Lisa – Power Factor 31.9538, Win Probability 13.03%
Byron Worner – Power Factor 31.7371, Win Probability 12.94%
Joe Santangelo – Power Factor 27.1587, Win Probability 11.07%
Michael Iacono – Power Factor 23.1832, Win Probability 9.45%
Anthony Bongiovanni – Power Factor 17.8802, Win Probability 7.29%
Mike Letellier – Power Factor 12.2998, Win Probability 5.01%
Marc Labrecque – Power Factor 6.6775, Win Probability 2.72%
Tom Boucher – Power Factor 4.7840, Win Probability 1.95%
Louis Gill – Power Factor 4.1165, Win Probability 1.68%
Field Win Probability 18.75%

Super Comp
Mike Robilotto – Power Factor 49.3550, Win Probability 13.27%
Amanda Boicesco – Power Factor 39.5445, Win Probability 10.63%
Rich Dorr – Power Factor 37.3095, Win Probability 10.03%
Kyle Cultrera – Power Factor 36.7105, Win Probability 9.87%
Ken Moses – Power Factor 31.5850, Win Probability 8.49%
Jack Sepanek – Power Factor 30.5215, Win Probability 8.21%
Brian Bell – Power Factor 25.0350, Win Probability 6.73%
Daniel Bisbano – Power Factor 24.4340, Win Probability 6.57%
Al Kenny – Power Factor 23.4000, Win Probability 6.29%
Josh Eastburn – Power Factor 15.5690, Win Probability 4.19%
Field Win Probability 15.73%

Super Gas
Mike Sawyer – Power Factor 49.9165, Win Probability 15.96%
Iggie Boicesco – Power Factor 45.3140, Win Probability 14.49%
Charlie Kenopic – Power Factor 41.8960, Win Probability 13.40%
Ted Leahy – Power Factor 29.5140, Win Probability 9.44%
Frank Altilio – Power Factor 28.8665, Win Probability 9.23%
Thomas Smith – Power Factor 28.6025, Win Probability 9.15%
Richard Stroud – Power Factor 23.7450, Win Probability 7.59%
Mike Handras – Power Factor 20.1250, Win Probability 6.43%
Darren Wood – Power Factor 14.2515, Win Probability 4.56%
Joe Gallucci – Power Factor 6.5210, Win Probability 2.09%
Field Win Probability 7.67%

Super Street
Keith Mayers - Power Factor 55.6870, Win Probability 18.93%
Brian Sawyer - Power Factor 55.1696, Win Probability 18.76%
John Olson - Power Factor 30.7706, Win Probability 10.46%
Raymond Knight - Power Factor 24.2121, Win Probability 8.23%
Paul Lorenti - Power Factor 24.1937, Win Probability 8.23%
Jason Mazzotta - Power Factor 21.0528, Win Probability 7.16%
John Harper - Power Factor 18.9976, Win Probability 6.46%
Robert Lohnes - Power Factor 14.7155, Win Probability 5.00%
Kelly Kundratic - Power Factor 6.3877, Win Probability 2.17%
Lou Avolio - Power Factor 5.4381, Win Probability 1.85%
Field Win Probability 12.75%
__________________
'65 Mustang SS/L & L/SA
DriverInterviews.com | App.DragInsights.com

Last edited by Bobby Fazio; 06-04-2022 at 05:30 PM.
Bobby Fazio is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-04-2022, 06:01 PM   #29
Mark Yacavone
Veteran Member
 
Mark Yacavone's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2002
Location: Miles From Nowhere
Posts: 7,659
Likes: 2,765
Liked 4,848 Times in 1,842 Posts
Default Re: The official DragInsights Power Rankings thread

Bobby, Alicia..

I'm plenty calm right now...If waiting for S/S didn't rile me up, I don't know what would.
I was being facetious about guys giving up and leaving..That was just for the effect ;-)

Let me tell you a little story from about a half century ago.. Yours truly at his first Nat'l event in S/S .
Last three cars remaining.. Larry Nelson, winner, Anthony Cieri r/u, and MY , lone semi-finalist...In other words who, who, and who?
The odds on favorite (without a computer analysis) Mr Bobby Warren ,who had won the previous two Nat'l meets..I raced him in the second round. So much for favorites.

Bobby B, I'll bet you I could do as good a job from a gut feeling ..I'll pick just five at the next race ..Between you and I ..Game on? ;-)

How about I pick 5 who don't get past the 1st or second round? Guys?
That ought to be a laugh riot.

Have fun with your project, if that's the proper term ..Good luck with it.
BTW , this is breakout racing, not Pro Stock .Love to see your record at the end of the season.
__________________
Real life never quite adds up.... Jay Farrar

Last edited by Mark Yacavone; 06-04-2022 at 06:04 PM.
Mark Yacavone is offline   Reply With Quote
Old 06-04-2022, 09:20 PM   #30
Frank Castros
VIP Member
 
Join Date: Nov 2001
Location: The Lowcountry.
Posts: 2,797
Likes: 2,276
Liked 2,371 Times in 864 Posts
Default Re: The official DragInsights Power Rankings thread

These Analytics are refreshed with every round. So it's moot.
Frank Castros is offline   Reply With Quote
Liked
Reply



Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is On

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 02:18 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions Inc.
Copyright © Class Racer.com. All Rights Reserved. Designated trademarks and brands are the property of their respective owners.